HANK’S HONEYS: The 2-7 Giants keep beating the spread with a 6-3 mark, 5-1 in their last six games, including a cover in Philly. They are only a few Daniel Jones turnovers away from leading the NFC Least. But the Eagles' bye week has changed the way we look at them. They are as healthy as they have been since the season began and that makes them a lot better than the Giants, talent-wise. Five players who missed the Dallas game are on track to return, including RB Miles Sanders, OT Lane Johnson and WR Alshon Jeffrey. That will take some pressure off Carson Wentz, who won’t have to keep taking dangerous chances downfield. The Birds can take control of the division here and they will.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Eagles and the over.
WASHINGTON at LIONS
1 p.m., Lions by 3 1/2, 46 ?
HANK’S HONEYS: We expect Antonio Gibson to get more carries against a run defense allowing 4.4 yards per carry while Alex Smith should be better with a full week of preparation. We’re not buying the Adrian Peterson revenge angle, certainly not based on what he’s done so far. Washington can get after the passer and it will have a gimpy target in Matthew Stafford, who will probably be without Kenny Golladay again. The Burgundy and Gold has been outgaining teams while shooting themselves in the foot. Detroit, though, hardly plays mistake-free football. Take the points.
HANK’S HONEYS: Don’t know how the Patriots' sluggish offense will be able to get anything going once the Ravens shut down the run and force Cam Newton and his suspect arm to the air. The Ravens are giving up the second-fewest points in the NFL while averaging 29. Baltimore has covered each of the last 10 times it has been favored by six or more points and will not take this one lightly even if the Patriots aren’t their old selves. It was a 37-20 rout in Baltimore last year that started the Patriots' late-season slide after an 8-0 start. Throw the Pats' short week on top of everything and it’s an easy pick.
HANK’S HONEYS: The beat-up SF defense has given up 71 points to the Seahawks and Packers the last two weeks with no letup in sight against a fast-paced NO attack that will have a healthy Michael Thomas and ex-Niner Emmanuel Sanders back on the field. Drew Brees seems to have regained his mojo during the Saints' five-game winning streak and he is back to distributing the ball to his many targets, forcing teams to defend the entire field. The Saints are holding teams to 80.2 ypg on the ground and the 49ers offense doesn’t work unless its running game is churning. Don’t see Nick Mullens matching points with Brees even with the emergence of WR Richie James.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Saints and the over.
BENGALS at STEELERS
4:25 p.m., Steelers by 7 ?, 49
HANK’S HONEYS: A lot depends on Ben Roethlisberger’s status on the COVID list but even with the big guy on the field, Cincy (6-2 ATS) looks like an attractive underdog given the spread and coming off a bye. The 8-0 Steelers aren’t as good as their record. They haven’t exactly been blowing teams out and the Bengals are playing much better than their record with budding superstar Joe Burrow improving each week. The Steelers have owned their AFC North rivals over the past five years, winning 10 straight while going 6-2-2 ATS but Burrow is changing the culture with a brand new coaching staff.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bengals and the over.
SEAHAWKS at RAMS
4:25 p.m., Rams by 1 ?, 53 ?
HANK’S HONEYS: The Rams generally bounce back well and have had two weeks to prepare for this one after an 11-point loss in Miami where they gained 415 yards. That kind of production is totally possible this week with the Seahawks allowing a league-high 455.8 yards per game. The Rams are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Seattle, averaging 33.6 ppg against much-better defensive units. Russell Wilson has been turning it over as his O-line crumbles. He will be in for a rough time against Aaron Donald and the Rams' pass rush.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Rams and the over.
TEXANS at BROWNS
1 p.m., Browns by 3, 56 ?
HANK’S HONEYS: The return ofNick Chubb and OG Wyatt Teller will give the Browns' running game a huge boost. Baker Mayfield came off the COVID list in plenty of time Wednesday. Houston is 0-6 against teams that do not play in Jacksonville and is ill equipped to deal with the Browns' weapons, even with OBJ out for the season. The Texans' pass rush is inconsistent and their secondary gives up big plays. Deshaun Watson should be able to put up points on a suspect pair of safeties but the Browns will have Myles Garrett to hunt him down. With David Johnson in concussion protocol, the Texans' run game is even more suspect.
HANK’S HONEYS: As this pair of impressive rookie QBs goes against each other in Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa, we’ve got to go with the better defense and coaching. There’s no question it’s the Dolphins in both cases. The hard-luck Chargers have allowed over 30 ppg in each of their last five contests while the blitzing Dolphins have been getting to the quarterback and creating takeaways. With speculation of a coaching change blowing in the wind, it won’t be an easy coast to coast trip for the Bolts, who already have one loss in Florida to Tampa Bay.
HANK’S HONEYS: Jake Luton wasn’t all that bad in his debut but this is a big ask against Aaron Rodgers in his first road game and with the Packers playing with 10 day’s rest. Rodgers should light up this young pass defense. He’ll be able to sit in the pocket against a team that has just eight sacks on the year and easily get the score above 30. The Packers will have film on Luton and he could be in over his head trying to play catchup against Rodgers, especially with a forecast that is calling for chilly, damp conditions and 21 mph winds at Lambeau Field.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Packers and the over.
BILLS at CARDINALS
4:05 p.m., Cards by 2, 49
HANK’S HONEYS: Josh Allen heads to the desert with a 7-2-1 record ATS as a road underdog but we still like the home team here. Kyler Murray and the Zona offense has been almost unstoppable over the past four weeks and we’re not sold on a Buffalo D just because they played well against the Jets and Pats. The Bills are giving up seven yards per pass attempt and a 68% completion percentage to opposing QBs. The Cardinals are getting healthier. Kenyan Drake’s return to the Cardinals' backfield is huge while the defense will be bolstered by the return of LB Devon Kennard and CB Byron Murphy.Love the over with both both teams capable of going up and down the field.
HANKS HONEYS: It’s hard to back Kirk Cousins, who is 0-3 SU against the Bears and 0-9 SU on MNF. What’s more, the Bears' defense, which just held Derrick Henry in check in a sellout effort, has limited Dalvin Cook to under 29 ypg in those three contests. Still, it’s equally hard to back an offense that has some Bears fans longing for the good old days of Mitch Trubisky with Nick Foles struggling so behind a bad O-line. With David Montgomery in concussion protocol, the Bears' miserable running could get worse, leaving Foles at the mercy of a Vikings pass rush that has been picking up steam.